Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wellington Phoenix v Sydney — Team-Based Signals
Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
1-0
HT 1-0
Sydney
AVUS
0-1
HT 0-1
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
1-1
HT 1-0
Sydney
AVUS
2-1
HT 1-0
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
2-1
HT 1-0
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
Wellington Phoenix 2-1 Sydney — Actual Match Statistics
Wellington Phoenix squeezed past Sydney 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Sydney at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Wellington Phoenix had 43% of the ball to Sydney's 57%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.62 to 1.16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sydney led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wellington Phoenix and 1.33 for Sydney.
What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney?
Wellington Phoenix 2-1 Sydney in the Australia - A-League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix vs Sydney?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix 34%, draw 25%, Sydney 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sydney) went the other way.