Perth Glory 1-2 Western Sydney Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 16 Mar 2024

Perth Glory
1-2 HT 1-1
Western Sydney Wanderers
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒11:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - A-League – 2023/2024

Perth Glory vs Western Sydney Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
29%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.61
Over 2.5
58%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.39
No
42%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.05
2-3 Goals
42%
2.08
4-5 Goals
24%
2.56
6+ Goals
15%
5.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.44
1/2
5%
23.15
1/X
8%
12.55
X/1
15%
6.11
X/2
12%
5.86
X/X
12%
6.15
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
23.6
2/2
13%
3.24
2/X
6%
12.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.6 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+6.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
29%
Away Win
38%
-9.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
35%
+6.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
65%
-6.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-9.8pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Perth Glory v Western Sydney Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Perth Glory EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -25%
1.51/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/1.74
+15% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -15%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
22.7 Crosses 22.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Perth Glory vs Western Sydney Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Perth Glory
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.96 xG 1.53
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
278 Passes 458
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 33
15 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.01.2024 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-2 HT 0-1 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
11.11.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
10.03.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 1-0 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
06.01.2023 Perth Glory Perth Glory 1-0 HT 0-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS
09.10.2022 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Perth Glory Perth Glory AVUS
30.04.2022 Perth Glory Perth Glory 1-1 HT 1-0 Western Sydney Wanderers Western Sydney Wanderers AVUS

Perth Glory 1-2 Western Sydney Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Perth Glory
1-2
AWAY Western Sydney Wanderers
2.35 xG 1.84
46% Ball Possession 54%
22 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
14 Corners 9
315 Passes 397
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
35 Box Touches 24
35 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Perth Glory vs Western Sydney Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Sydney Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Perth Glory 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Perth Glory at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Perth Glory had 46% of the ball to Western Sydney Wanderers's 54%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 2.35 to 1.84 — the balance of chances actually favoured Perth Glory.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Perth Glory had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Perth Glory and 0.83 for Western Sydney Wanderers.

What was the final score of Perth Glory vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Perth Glory 1-2 Western Sydney Wanderers in the Australia - A-League on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Perth Glory vs Western Sydney Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Perth Glory win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Perth Glory 44%, draw 27%, Western Sydney Wanderers 29%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Perth Glory) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Perth Glory) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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