Police vs Posta Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Police v Posta Rangers — Team-Based Signals
Police vs Posta Rangers Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Posta Rangers
KEN
2-2
Police
KEN2
Police 3-2 Posta Rangers — Actual Match Statistics
Police edged past Posta Rangers 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 35% / 27% — and on the day Police made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Police had 51% of the ball to Posta Rangers's 49%, shots finished 14-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Posta Rangers led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Police and 2.50 for Posta Rangers.
What was the final score of Police vs Posta Rangers?
Police 3-2 Posta Rangers in the Kenya - Premier League on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Police vs Posta Rangers?
Before kick-off our model rated a Police win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Police 38%, draw 35%, Posta Rangers 27%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Police) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.