15/01/2025
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Tusker vs Bandari Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
13%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
38%
Draw
30%
23%
Away Win
26%
68%
Under 2.5
62%
32%
Over 2.5
38%
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
53%
BTTS No
57%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tusker v Bandari — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tusker
EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY
Bandari
EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% /
+6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+12% /
+12%
1.67/1.32
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.39/0.52
+61%
/
-47%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-55%
/
+71%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
6
269 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
265 · 69%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.5
Yellow Cards
2.5
Tusker vs Bandari Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Tusker
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Bandari
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
48%
Ball Possession
52%
9
Total Shots
5
3
Shots on Target
2
4
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
0
The Meetings
02.02.2022
Tusker
1-0
HT 1-0
Bandari
KEN2
1-0
HT 1-0
Bandari
KEN2
Tusker 1-0 Bandari — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
Tusker
1-0
AWAY
Bandari
42%
Ball Possession
58%
11
Total Shots
8
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
2
2
Yellow Cards
3
POST-MATCH
Tusker vs Bandari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Tusker squeezed past Bandari 1-0.
Our pre-match split (38% / 38% / 23%) promised a tight game; Tusker found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Tusker had 42% of the ball to Bandari's 58%, shots finished 11-8.
What was the final score of Tusker vs Bandari?
Tusker 1-0 Bandari in the Kenya - Premier League on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tusker vs Bandari?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tusker win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tusker 38%, draw 38%, Bandari 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/38/23)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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