Khaitan 1-1 Al Nasar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 15 Jan 2025

📅15/01/2025 · 🕒17:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.35
Away
50%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
3.61
6+ Goals
11%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 33% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+2.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-4.1pp
50%
Away Win
49%
+1.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Khaitan EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 53%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.15/2.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.54/1.56
-12% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
227 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 580 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Khaitan
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Nasar
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
17.08.2024 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-2 HT 0-1 Khaitan Khaitan KUV
03.01.2024 Al Nasar Al Nasar 1-1 HT 0-0 Khaitan Khaitan KUV
06.10.2023 Khaitan Khaitan 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
11.05.2021 Khaitan Khaitan 4-2 HT 1-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
09.03.2021 Al Nasar Al Nasar 1-1 HT 1-0 Khaitan Khaitan KUV
25.10.2020 Khaitan Khaitan 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
POST-MATCH Khaitan vs Al Nasar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Khaitan and Al Nasar couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Nasar at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Khaitan and 1.33 for Al Nasar.

What was the final score of Khaitan vs Al Nasar?

Khaitan 1-1 Al Nasar in the Kuwait - Premier League on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Khaitan vs Al Nasar?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nasar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Khaitan 28%, draw 22%, Al Nasar 50%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Nasar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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