Al Ahly 2-0 El Gounah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 15 Jan 2025

📅15/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.32
Draw
25%
4.49
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under
57%
1.78
Over
43%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.56
No Pick
59%
1.45
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2.85
2-3
40%
1.72
4-5
21%
3.66
6+
9%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.85 — our 30% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik model signals — not real match figures
HOME Al Ahly The Market 76%
Head to Head
AWAY El Gounah The Market 12%
Average Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Average
1.81 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.56
0.68 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.14
Strong Attackvs comparable teams Average
Average Defensevs comparable teams Strong
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
380 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.0
18.1 Crosses 13.2
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahly
2W-4D-0L
AWAY El Gounah
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.83 xG 0.80
64% Ball Possession 36%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
415 Passes 193
81% Pass Accuracy 67%
29 Box Touches 9
24 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 3-0 HT 1-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
11.11.2023 El Gounah El Gounah 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
24.07.2022 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-0 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
05.07.2022 El Gounah El Gounah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
24.08.2021 El Gounah El Gounah 3-3 HT 1-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
30.04.2021 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-1 HT 0-0 El Gounah El Gounah MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahly
2-0
AWAY El Gounah
1.69 xG 0.82
59% Ball Possession 41%
22 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
394 Passes 256
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Al Ahly vs El Gounah
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Al Ahly beat El Gounah 2-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Al Ahly as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

By the numbers, Al Ahly had 59% of the ball to El Gounah's 41%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 1.69 to 0.82.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Ahly and 0.83 for El Gounah.

Al Ahly vs El Gounah Result & Final Score

Al Ahly 2-0 El Gounah in the Egypt - Premier League on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Al Ahly vs El Gounah Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Al Ahly 58%, draw 25%, El Gounah 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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