Sporting Covilha 0-0 Lusitania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 15 Jan 2025

Sporting Covilha
0-0 HT 0-0
Lusitania
📅15/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Portugal - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Sporting Covilha vs Lusitania Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.4pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting Covilha v Lusitania — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Covilha EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lusitania EU Bookmakers 31%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.44/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.00
+11% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.4 Yellow Cards 3.5

Sporting Covilha vs Lusitania Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Covilha
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lusitania
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.09.2024 Lusitania Lusitania 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting Covilha Sporting Covilha POR3

Sporting Covilha 0-0 Lusitania — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Covilha
0-0
AWAY Lusitania
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sporting Covilha vs Lusitania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Covilha and Lusitania fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Covilha at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sporting Covilha had 56% of the ball to Lusitania's 44%, shots finished 16-5.

What was the final score of Sporting Covilha vs Lusitania?

Sporting Covilha 0-0 Lusitania in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 15/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Covilha vs Lusitania?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Covilha win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sporting Covilha 41%, draw 27%, Lusitania 31%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sporting Covilha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Covilha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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