Bahardar 0-0 Mekelle Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 15 Jan 2026

📅15/01/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.38
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
20%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.29
No
61%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
39%
+7.8pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.6pp
20%
Away Win
29%
-8.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.2pp
61%
BTTS No
60%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bahardar EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelle Kenema EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.70/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.02
-29% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bahardar
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Mekelle Kenema
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2025 Bahardar Bahardar 4-1 Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema ETH
30.11.2024 Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema 1-1 Bahardar Bahardar ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bahardar
0-0
AWAY Mekelle Kenema
48% Ball Possession 52%
4 Total Shots 3
0 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bahardar vs Mekelle Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahardar and Mekelle Kenema played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Bahardar at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Bahardar had 48% of the ball to Mekelle Kenema's 52%, shots finished 4-3.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bahardar had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Bahardar and 1.00 for Mekelle Kenema.

What was the final score of Bahardar vs Mekelle Kenema?

Bahardar 0-0 Mekelle Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 15/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bahardar vs Mekelle Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bahardar win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Bahardar 46%, draw 33%, Mekelle Kenema 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bahardar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bahardar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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