Boca Juniors 2-0 Central Cordoba Santiago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 15 Feb 2024

📅15/02/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.37
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.75
Over 2.5
39%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.9
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
3.93
6+ Goals
8%
18.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.9 — our 34% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.82
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
20.15
X/1
16%
3.25
X/2
5%
13.65
X/X
14%
4.84
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
11%
12.75
2/X
6%
21.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
68%
-16.4pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.4pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
53%
+7.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
47%
-7.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.0pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.43/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.34
-11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -2%
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
420 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 67%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
21.1 Crosses 16.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boca Juniors
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.99 xG 0.99
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
447 Passes 179
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
31 Box Touches 12
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2023 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 0-3 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
06.02.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
13.06.2022 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 1-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
24.04.2022 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 1-2 HT 1-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
12.12.2021 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 8-1 HT 4-0 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
17.02.2020 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 0-4 HT 0-2 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boca Juniors
2-0
AWAY Central Cordoba Santiago
1.79 xG 0.58
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
241 Passes 260
70% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Boca Juniors vs Central Cordoba Santiago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boca Juniors got the better of Central Cordoba Santiago 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Boca Juniors as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Boca Juniors had 49% of the ball to Central Cordoba Santiago's 51%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.79 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Boca Juniors and 0.50 for Central Cordoba Santiago.

What was the final score of Boca Juniors vs Central Cordoba Santiago?

Boca Juniors 2-0 Central Cordoba Santiago in the Argentina - Premier League on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boca Juniors vs Central Cordoba Santiago?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Boca Juniors 52%, draw 27%, Central Cordoba Santiago 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boca Juniors), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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