Deportivo Riestra 1-2 Velez Sarsfield — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 15 Feb 2024

📅15/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.41
Over 2.5
33%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.29
No
63%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.97
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
15%
6.54
6+ Goals
6%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.84
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.8
X/1
14%
6.53
X/2
10%
4.19
X/X
18%
3.31
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
20%
3.16
2/X
9%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.9pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.9pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.7pp
67%
Under 2.5
67%
+0.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
33%
-0.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.2pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Sarsfield EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -12%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
239 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
Crosses 17.6
Yellow Cards 1.9
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Riestra
1-2
AWAY Velez Sarsfield
0.91 xG 1.80
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
143 Passes 342
62% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 26
31 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Velez Sarsfield nicked a narrow win over Deportivo Riestra 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 32% / 37% — and on the day Velez Sarsfield made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Riestra had 36% of the ball to Velez Sarsfield's 64%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 0.91 to 1.80.

What was the final score of Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield?

Deportivo Riestra 1-2 Velez Sarsfield in the Argentina - Premier League on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Riestra vs Velez Sarsfield?

Before kick-off our model rated an Velez Sarsfield win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Riestra 31%, draw 32%, Velez Sarsfield 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Velez Sarsfield) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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