Botafogo SP vs Corinthians Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Botafogo SP v Corinthians — Team-Based Signals
Botafogo SP vs Corinthians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Botafogo SP
BREPAU
1-1
HT 0-1
Corinthians
BREPAU
4-1
HT 1-0
Botafogo SP
BREPAU
2-1
HT 0-0
Corinthians
HAZ
0-1
HT 0-0
Corinthians
BREPAU
0-2
HT 0-0
Corinthians
BREPAU
Botafogo SP 1-4 Corinthians — Actual Match Statistics
Corinthians ran out comfortable winners over Botafogo SP 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Corinthians as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Botafogo SP had 37% of the ball to Corinthians's 63%, shots finished 21-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Corinthians led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Botafogo SP and 1.83 for Corinthians.
What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Corinthians?
Botafogo SP 1-4 Corinthians in the Brazil - Paulista A1 on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Corinthians?
Before kick-off our model rated an Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 29%, draw 25%, Corinthians 46%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Corinthians) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.