Ituano vs Mirassol FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ituano v Mirassol FC — Team-Based Signals
Ituano vs Mirassol FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Mirassol FC
BR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Ituano
BR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Ituano
BREPAU
2-1
HT 2-1
Mirassol FC
BRE3
1-2
HT 1-0
Ituano
BRE3
1-1
HT 0-1
Mirassol FC
BREPAU
Ituano 1-1 Mirassol FC — Actual Match Statistics
Ituano and Mirassol FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Mirassol FC at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Ituano had 34% of the ball to Mirassol FC's 66%, shots finished 10-25.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ituano had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ituano and 0.67 for Mirassol FC.
What was the final score of Ituano vs Mirassol FC?
Ituano 1-1 Mirassol FC in the Brazil - Paulista A1 on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ituano vs Mirassol FC?
Before kick-off our model rated an Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ituano 20%, draw 35%, Mirassol FC 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mirassol FC) went the other way.