Club America 2-0 Real Esteli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi, 15 Feb 2024

📅15/02/2024 · 🕒06:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.11
Draw
33%
8.11
Away
33%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
3.59
Over 2.5
50%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.27
No
50%
1.56
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
85%
-51.5pp
33%
Draw
9%
+24.2pp
33%
Away Win
6%
+27.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
24%
+25.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
76%
-25.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
40%
+10.0pp
50%
BTTS No
60%
-10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club America EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Esteli EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club America
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Real Esteli
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.83 xG 1.05
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
467 Passes 189
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
31 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2024 Real Esteli Real Esteli 2-1 HT 1-0 Club America Club America CON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club America
2-0
AWAY Real Esteli
1.40 xG 0.45
62% Ball Possession 38%
19 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
478 Passes 259
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
27 Box Touches 7
15 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Club America vs Real Esteli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club America saw off Real Esteli 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Club America found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Club America had 62% of the ball to Real Esteli's 38%, shots finished 19-5, expected goals 1.40 to 0.45.

What was the final score of Club America vs Real Esteli?

Club America 2-0 Real Esteli in the Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi on 15/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club America vs Real Esteli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club America win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Club America 33%, draw 33%, Real Esteli 33%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi More Kuzey / Orta Amerika - CONCACAF Şampiyonlar Ligi
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