Sligo Rovers 2-3 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.83
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.7
6+ Goals
9%
16.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.45
1/2
5%
31.5
1/X
7%
13.15
X/1
13%
5.22
X/2
10%
6.03
X/X
14%
4.36
2/1
8%
28.0
2/2
12%
4.31
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
40%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
28%
Away Win
32%
-4.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.4pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.31/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.57
+5% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
273 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 67%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.2
17.5 Crosses 17.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sligo Rovers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Waterford FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.60 xG 1.49
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
215 Passes 248
68% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
07.06.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 4-1 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
03.05.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
29.03.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
02.10.2021 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
18.07.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sligo Rovers
2-3
AWAY Waterford FC
3.46 xG 1.62
62% Ball Possession 38%
25 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
286 Passes 125
73% Pass Accuracy 50%
30 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sligo Rovers vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford FC edged past Sligo Rovers 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sligo Rovers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sligo Rovers had 62% of the ball to Waterford FC's 38%, shots finished 25-5, expected goals 3.46 to 1.62 — the balance of chances actually favoured Sligo Rovers.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waterford FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sligo Rovers and 1.17 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs Waterford FC?

Sligo Rovers 2-3 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sligo Rovers vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sligo Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sligo Rovers 44%, draw 28%, Waterford FC 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sligo Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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