Utebo 2-0 Alfaro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Feb 2025

Utebo
2-0 HT 2-0
Alfaro
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.1pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utebo EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Alfaro EU Bookmakers 24%
+27% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
2.24/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.65
+61% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -20%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
346 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 166 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utebo
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Alfaro
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Alfaro Alfaro 4-2 HT 1-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
05.03.2023 Alfaro Alfaro 1-2 HT 1-1 Utebo Utebo İS4
15.10.2022 Utebo Utebo 2-1 HT 0-1 Alfaro Alfaro İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utebo
2-0
AWAY Alfaro
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Utebo vs Alfaro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utebo saw off Alfaro 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Utebo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Utebo had 48% of the ball to Alfaro's 52%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Utebo had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Utebo and 2.00 for Alfaro.

What was the final score of Utebo vs Alfaro?

Utebo 2-0 Alfaro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utebo vs Alfaro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utebo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Utebo 46%, draw 30%, Alfaro 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utebo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Utebo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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