Arenas de Getxo 2-1 Barbastro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.52
Over 2.5
38%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
55%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.8pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arenas de Getxo EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Barbastro EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +0%
1.53/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.41
-1% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +3%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
393 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 6.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arenas de Getxo
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Barbastro
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
58% Ball Possession 42%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Barbastro Barbastro 1-2 HT 0-1 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
23.03.2024 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 0-0 HT 0-0 Barbastro Barbastro İS4
12.11.2023 Barbastro Barbastro 0-0 HT 0-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arenas de Getxo
2-1
AWAY Barbastro
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Arenas de Getxo vs Barbastro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenas de Getxo edged past Barbastro 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Arenas de Getxo as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arenas de Getxo had 57% of the ball to Barbastro's 43%, shots finished 9-6.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Arenas de Getxo had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Arenas de Getxo and 0.33 for Barbastro.

What was the final score of Arenas de Getxo vs Barbastro?

Arenas de Getxo 2-1 Barbastro in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arenas de Getxo vs Barbastro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arenas de Getxo win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Arenas de Getxo 51%, draw 28%, Barbastro 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arenas de Getxo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arenas de Getxo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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