Barbastro 1-2 Arenas de Getxo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 6 Oct 2024

📅06/10/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.41
Over 2.5
31%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+0.0pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.1pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.1pp
69%
Under 2.5
67%
+1.6pp
31%
Over 2.5
33%
-1.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.5pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barbastro EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Arenas de Getxo EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -9%
0.65/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.15
-46% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
200 · 57% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 28.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barbastro
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Arenas de Getxo
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo 0-0 HT 0-0 Barbastro Barbastro İS4
12.11.2023 Barbastro Barbastro 0-0 HT 0-0 Arenas de Getxo Arenas de Getxo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barbastro
1-2
AWAY Arenas de Getxo
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Barbastro vs Arenas de Getxo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arenas de Getxo squeezed past Barbastro 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Arenas de Getxo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barbastro had 38% of the ball to Arenas de Getxo's 62%, shots finished 4-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Barbastro and 0.00 for Arenas de Getxo.

What was the final score of Barbastro vs Arenas de Getxo?

Barbastro 1-2 Arenas de Getxo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 06/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barbastro vs Arenas de Getxo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barbastro win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Barbastro 38%, draw 32%, Arenas de Getxo 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barbastro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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