Essen-Schönebeck (K) 4-1 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
13%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.95
Over 2.5
43%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
67%
-0.4pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.2pp
13%
Away Win
13%
+0.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+9.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-9.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.9pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena (K) EU Bookmakers 16%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
3.96/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/2.36
+110% / -76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -76% / +34%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
394 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 75%
42.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.9
34.0 Crosses 5.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K)
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.90 xG 0.53
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
336 Passes 314
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2024 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Essen-Schönebeck (K) Essen-Schönebeck (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Essen-Schönebeck (K)
4-1
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
1.54 xG 1.02
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 7
11 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
249 Passes 249
69% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Essen-Schönebeck (K) ran out comfortable winners over Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Essen-Schönebeck (K) as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Essen-Schönebeck (K) had 51% of the ball to Carl Zeiss Jena (K)'s 49%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 1.54 to 1.02.

What was the final score of Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K)?

Essen-Schönebeck (K) 4-1 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Essen-Schönebeck (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Essen-Schönebeck (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Essen-Schönebeck (K) 66%, draw 21%, Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Essen-Schönebeck (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Essen-Schönebeck (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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