Düren Merzenich 1-1 Schalke 04 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-14.6pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Düren Merzenich EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Schalke 04 II EU Bookmakers 33%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.82/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.68
+8% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Düren Merzenich
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Schalke 04 II
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.08.2024 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II 1-4 HT 1-1 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
09.12.2023 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II 3-0 HT 2-0 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
05.08.2023 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 2-2 HT 1-1 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II ALMBÖL
04.03.2023 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 2-2 HT 2-0 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II ALMBÖL
11.09.2022 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II 4-1 HT 1-1 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Düren Merzenich vs Schalke 04 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Düren Merzenich and Schalke 04 II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Düren Merzenich at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Schalke 04 II led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Düren Merzenich and 2.40 for Schalke 04 II.

What was the final score of Düren Merzenich vs Schalke 04 II?

Düren Merzenich 1-1 Schalke 04 II in the Germany - Regional League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Düren Merzenich vs Schalke 04 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Düren Merzenich win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Düren Merzenich 46%, draw 27%, Schalke 04 II 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Düren Merzenich), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Düren Merzenich) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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