Schalke 04 II 1-4 Düren Merzenich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.46
No
53%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
64%
-17.5pp
53%
BTTS No
36%
+17.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schalke 04 II EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Düren Merzenich EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.83/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.22
+7% / +49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +30%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schalke 04 II
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Düren Merzenich
2.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.12.2023 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II 3-0 HT 2-0 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
05.08.2023 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 2-2 HT 1-1 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II ALMBÖL
04.03.2023 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 2-2 HT 2-0 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II ALMBÖL
11.09.2022 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II 4-1 HT 1-1 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Schalke 04 II
1-4
AWAY Düren Merzenich
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Schalke 04 II vs Düren Merzenich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Düren Merzenich cruised past Schalke 04 II 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Schalke 04 II at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Schalke 04 II had 55% of the ball to Düren Merzenich's 45%, shots finished 6-18.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Schalke 04 II had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.75 goals for Schalke 04 II and 1.25 for Düren Merzenich.

What was the final score of Schalke 04 II vs Düren Merzenich?

Schalke 04 II 1-4 Düren Merzenich in the Germany - Regional League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schalke 04 II vs Düren Merzenich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Schalke 04 II win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 II 44%, draw 24%, Düren Merzenich 32%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Schalke 04 II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Schalke 04 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
24 Aug 2024
14:00 Greifswalder SV vs Meuselwitz Analysis →
14:30 Weiche Flensburg vs Havelse Analysis →
15:00 Eintracht Bamberg vs Illertissen Analysis →
15:00 Wiedenbrück vs Köln II Analysis →
15:00 Eintracht Hohkeppel vs Sportfreunde Lotte Analysis →
15:00 Hankofen-Hailing vs Schwaben Augsburg Analysis →