Weiche Flensburg 1-2 Havelse — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.15
Over 2.5
62%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+1.3pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
43%
-4.3pp
62%
Over 2.5
57%
+4.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.3pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Havelse EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
1.71/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.84
+0% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
376 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weiche Flensburg
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Havelse
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Havelse Havelse 1-0 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
21.10.2023 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 1-2 HT 0-1 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
06.05.2023 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
29.10.2022 Havelse Havelse 2-0 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
23.11.2019 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
20.09.2015 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 5-1 HT 3-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Weiche Flensburg vs Havelse
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havelse edged past Weiche Flensburg 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Weiche Flensburg at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Havelse led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Weiche Flensburg and 1.33 for Havelse.

What was the final score of Weiche Flensburg vs Havelse?

Weiche Flensburg 1-2 Havelse in the Germany - Regional League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weiche Flensburg vs Havelse?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weiche Flensburg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Weiche Flensburg 44%, draw 22%, Havelse 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Weiche Flensburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Weiche Flensburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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