Lehnerz 0-1 Steinbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.53
No
51%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+3.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
61%
-11.8pp
51%
BTTS No
39%
+11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lehnerz EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Steinbach EU Bookmakers 40%
+16% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -19%
1.79/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.67
+11% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
304 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lehnerz
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Steinbach
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.03.2024 Lehnerz Lehnerz 2-3 HT 2-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
22.09.2023 Steinbach Steinbach 1-3 HT 1-0 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
26.11.2022 Steinbach Steinbach 1-1 HT 1-1 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
06.08.2022 Lehnerz Lehnerz 1-0 HT 1-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lehnerz vs Steinbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Steinbach edged past Lehnerz 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Lehnerz at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lehnerz had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Lehnerz and 1.25 for Steinbach.

What was the final score of Lehnerz vs Steinbach?

Lehnerz 0-1 Steinbach in the Germany - Regional League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lehnerz vs Steinbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lehnerz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lehnerz 41%, draw 26%, Steinbach 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Lehnerz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lehnerz) ✓ BTTS No
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