Lehnerz 2-3 Steinbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.03
Over 2.5
41%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.0pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
45%
+13.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
55%
-13.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.6pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lehnerz EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Steinbach EU Bookmakers 30%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -17%
2.65/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/2.12
+46% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -20%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lehnerz
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Steinbach
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.09.2023 Steinbach Steinbach 1-3 HT 1-0 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
26.11.2022 Steinbach Steinbach 1-1 HT 1-1 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
06.08.2022 Lehnerz Lehnerz 1-0 HT 1-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lehnerz
2-3
AWAY Steinbach
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lehnerz vs Steinbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Steinbach edged past Lehnerz 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Lehnerz at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lehnerz had 46% of the ball to Steinbach's 54%, shots finished 18-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lehnerz had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lehnerz and 0.67 for Steinbach.

What was the final score of Lehnerz vs Steinbach?

Lehnerz 2-3 Steinbach in the Germany - Regional League on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lehnerz vs Steinbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lehnerz win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Lehnerz 49%, draw 23%, Steinbach 28%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lehnerz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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