Luckenwalde 2-0 BFC Dynamo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.65
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
56%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
2.21
Over 2.5
39%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
35%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.0pp
56%
Away Win
60%
-4.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
41%
+19.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
59%
-19.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.0pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Dynamo EU Bookmakers 64%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.11/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.73
-3% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +38%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luckenwalde
2W-1D-3L
AWAY BFC Dynamo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
32% Ball Possession 68%
2 Total Shots 20
1 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 9
5 Yellow Cards 0
08.10.2023 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 4-0 HT 2-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
21.05.2023 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 1-3 HT 0-2 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
11.12.2022 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 3-2 HT 1-1 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
20.03.2022 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo 2-0 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
18.09.2021 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-1 HT 0-1 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
06.09.2020 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-5 HT 0-3 BFC Dynamo BFC Dynamo ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luckenwalde
2-0
AWAY BFC Dynamo
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Luckenwalde got the better of BFC Dynamo 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

This one beat our numbers. BFC Dynamo carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Luckenwalde had 43% of the ball to BFC Dynamo's 57%, shots finished 13-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Dynamo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Luckenwalde and 2.50 for BFC Dynamo.

What was the final score of Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo?

Luckenwalde 2-0 BFC Dynamo in the Germany - Regional League on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo?

Before kick-off our model rated an BFC Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Luckenwalde 19%, draw 25%, BFC Dynamo 56%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (BFC Dynamo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (BFC Dynamo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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