Astoria Walldorf 2-0 Homburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.48
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
48%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
19%
+9.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
48%
Away Win
57%
-9.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.6pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Astoria Walldorf EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Homburg EU Bookmakers 62%
+7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
0.98/1.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.40/0.69
-14% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +48%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
227 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Astoria Walldorf
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Homburg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.09.2023 Homburg Homburg 5-0 HT 3-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
04.04.2023 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 1-1 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
23.09.2022 Homburg Homburg 4-0 HT 1-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
18.02.2022 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 3-1 HT 1-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
10.09.2021 Homburg Homburg 3-2 HT 2-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
10.04.2021 Homburg Homburg 3-1 HT 1-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Astoria Walldorf
2-0
AWAY Homburg
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Astoria Walldorf vs Homburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Astoria Walldorf saw off Homburg 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Homburg at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Astoria Walldorf had 46% of the ball to Homburg's 54%, shots finished 12-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Homburg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Astoria Walldorf and 2.83 for Homburg.

What was the final score of Astoria Walldorf vs Homburg?

Astoria Walldorf 2-0 Homburg in the Germany - Regional League on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Astoria Walldorf vs Homburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Astoria Walldorf 29%, draw 23%, Homburg 48%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Homburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Homburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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