Havelse 1-0 Weiche Flensburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.7pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Havelse EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Weiche Flensburg EU Bookmakers 33%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.65/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.12
-3% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Havelse
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Weiche Flensburg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 1-2 HT 0-1 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
06.05.2023 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 2-0 HT 1-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
29.10.2022 Havelse Havelse 2-0 HT 0-0 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg ALMBÖL
23.11.2019 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
20.09.2015 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 5-1 HT 3-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
22.02.2015 Weiche Flensburg Weiche Flensburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Havelse Havelse ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Havelse
1-0
AWAY Weiche Flensburg
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Havelse vs Weiche Flensburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Havelse edged past Weiche Flensburg 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Havelse as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Havelse had 49% of the ball to Weiche Flensburg's 51%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Havelse had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Havelse and 1.33 for Weiche Flensburg.

What was the final score of Havelse vs Weiche Flensburg?

Havelse 1-0 Weiche Flensburg in the Germany - Regional League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Havelse vs Weiche Flensburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Havelse win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Havelse 42%, draw 27%, Weiche Flensburg 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Havelse) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Havelse)
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