Tristan Suarez 2-1 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 15 Feb 2025

Tristan Suarez
2-1 HT 1-1
Almagro
📅15/02/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2025

Tristan Suarez vs Almagro Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
32%
2.77
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.27
No
63%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
20%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.2pp
32%
Draw
32%
-0.4pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
40%
-3.0pp
63%
BTTS No
60%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tristan Suarez v Almagro — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.37/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.42
+22% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
306 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.2

Tristan Suarez vs Almagro Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tristan Suarez
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Almagro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
12.03.2022 Almagro Almagro 1-0 HT 0-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
24.07.2021 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 1-1 HT 0-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
16.03.2021 Almagro Almagro 1-3 HT 0-2 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
22.09.2015 Almagro Almagro 1-0 HT 1-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Tristan Suarez vs Almagro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tristan Suarez edged past Almagro 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 32% / 31%) promised a tight game; Tristan Suarez found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Almagro led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tristan Suarez and 1.00 for Almagro.

What was the final score of Tristan Suarez vs Almagro?

Tristan Suarez 2-1 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tristan Suarez vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tristan Suarez win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tristan Suarez 37%, draw 32%, Almagro 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tristan Suarez) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tristan Suarez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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