Club Atletico Guemes 1-1 Patronato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
29%
2.77
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.51
No
56%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.6pp
29%
Draw
32%
-3.8pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.8pp
56%
BTTS No
64%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Patronato EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -11%
1.06/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.23
-7% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / -11%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Atletico Guemes
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Patronato
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
03.08.2024 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 2-1 HT 0-1 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
18.03.2024 Patronato Patronato 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
30.07.2023 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 1-0 HT 1-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
26.03.2023 Patronato Patronato 1-2 HT 1-2 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Club Atletico Guemes vs Patronato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Atletico Guemes and Patronato couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Club Atletico Guemes at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Club Atletico Guemes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Club Atletico Guemes and 0.50 for Patronato.

What was the final score of Club Atletico Guemes vs Patronato?

Club Atletico Guemes 1-1 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Atletico Guemes vs Patronato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Atletico Guemes win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Club Atletico Guemes 45%, draw 29%, Patronato 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Atletico Guemes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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