Club Atletico Guemes 2-1 Patronato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
40%
2.83
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.53
No
58%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
24%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-8.9pp
40%
Draw
32%
+7.9pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.6pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
36%
+6.0pp
58%
BTTS No
64%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Atletico Guemes EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Patronato EU Bookmakers 24%
-16% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -16%
0.83/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.44/1.30
-33% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Atletico Guemes
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Patronato
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
18.03.2024 Patronato Patronato 0-0 HT 0-0 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
30.07.2023 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes 1-0 HT 1-0 Patronato Patronato ARJPBN
26.03.2023 Patronato Patronato 1-2 HT 1-2 Club Atletico Guemes Club Atletico Guemes ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Club Atletico Guemes vs Patronato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Atletico Guemes nicked a narrow win over Patronato 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 40% / 22%) promised a tight game; Club Atletico Guemes found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Club Atletico Guemes had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Club Atletico Guemes and 0.33 for Patronato.

What was the final score of Club Atletico Guemes vs Patronato?

Club Atletico Guemes 2-1 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Atletico Guemes vs Patronato?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Club Atletico Guemes 38%, draw 40%, Patronato 22%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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