Chaco For Ever 1-1 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.9
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.36
Over 2.5
39%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.67
No
62%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
49%
-5.6pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.6pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+8.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
70%
-9.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
30%
+9.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
33%
+4.8pp
62%
BTTS No
67%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chaco For Ever EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 23%
-10% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -15%
1.14/0.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.49
-11% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
369 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chaco For Ever
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Almagro
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 9
1 Corners 9
17.03.2024 Almagro Almagro 0-0 HT 0-0 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever ARJPBN
24.05.2022 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever 0-1 HT 0-1 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Chaco For Ever vs Almagro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chaco For Ever and Almagro couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Chaco For Ever at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (62%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Almagro led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Chaco For Ever and 0.50 for Almagro.

What was the final score of Chaco For Ever vs Almagro?

Chaco For Ever 1-1 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chaco For Ever vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chaco For Ever win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chaco For Ever 43%, draw 29%, Almagro 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chaco For Ever), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chaco For Ever) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
3 Aug 2024
21:00 San Miguel vs Guillermo Brown Analysis →
21:00 Estudiantes Caseros vs San Martin Tucuman Analysis →
21:00 Club Atletico Guemes vs Patronato Analysis →
21:30 Defensores Unidos vs Nueva Chicago Analysis →