San Miguel 1-0 Guillermo Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.38
Over 2.5
34%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.67
No
64%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
69%
-2.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
31%
+2.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
33%
+2.8pp
64%
BTTS No
67%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Miguel EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Guillermo Brown EU Bookmakers 21%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -9%
2.02/0.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.37
+51% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
373 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Miguel
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Guillermo Brown
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Corners 9
17.03.2024 Guillermo Brown Guillermo Brown 1-1 HT 0-1 San Miguel San Miguel ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Miguel vs Guillermo Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel nicked a narrow win over Guillermo Brown 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had San Miguel as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of San Miguel vs Guillermo Brown?

San Miguel 1-0 Guillermo Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Miguel vs Guillermo Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Miguel win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split San Miguel 49%, draw 27%, Guillermo Brown 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Miguel), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (San Miguel) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
3 Aug 2024
21:00 Estudiantes Caseros vs San Martin Tucuman Analysis →
21:00 Club Atletico Guemes vs Patronato Analysis →
21:30 Defensores Unidos vs Nueva Chicago Analysis →
23:00 Chaco For Ever vs Almagro Analysis →