Defensores Unidos 1-2 Nueva Chicago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 3 Aug 2024

📅03/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
35%
2.77
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.4pp
35%
Draw
33%
+2.0pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.0pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores Unidos EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 38%
+26% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.08/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/0.58
+10% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +66%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
302 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores Unidos
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Nueva Chicago
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
19.03.2024 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 3-0 HT 1-0 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos ARJPBN
06.08.2023 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 0-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
30.03.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Defensores Unidos vs Nueva Chicago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Chicago squeezed past Defensores Unidos 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 35% / 30%) promised a tight game; Nueva Chicago found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Nueva Chicago led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Defensores Unidos and 1.00 for Nueva Chicago.

What was the final score of Defensores Unidos vs Nueva Chicago?

Defensores Unidos 1-2 Nueva Chicago in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores Unidos vs Nueva Chicago?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensores Unidos win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Defensores Unidos 35%, draw 35%, Nueva Chicago 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/35/30) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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