Nueva Chicago 3-0 Defensores Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 19 Mar 2024

📅19/03/2024 · 🕒00:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
30%
2.77
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.36
Over 2.5
37%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.3pp
30%
Draw
32%
-2.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
70%
-6.9pp
37%
Over 2.5
30%
+6.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+3.5pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores Unidos EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.09/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.41
-10% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nueva Chicago
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Defensores Unidos
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
06.08.2023 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 0-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
30.03.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Nueva Chicago vs Defensores Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Chicago cruised past Defensores Unidos 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nueva Chicago as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Nueva Chicago and 0.00 for Defensores Unidos.

What was the final score of Nueva Chicago vs Defensores Unidos?

Nueva Chicago 3-0 Defensores Unidos in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 19/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nueva Chicago vs Defensores Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nueva Chicago win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Nueva Chicago 42%, draw 30%, Defensores Unidos 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nueva Chicago), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nueva Chicago) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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