Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 Atletico Atlanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 19 Mar 2024

📅19/03/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
34%
2.88
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.0pp
34%
Draw
31%
+2.9pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.5pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 30%
+9% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
1.36/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.05
+13% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
439 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Mendoza
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Atletico Atlanta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.10.2022 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 4-1 HT 2-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
05.09.2021 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 1-1 HT 1-0 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJPBN
26.04.2021 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza 1-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Mendoza vs Atletico Atlanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Mendoza nicked a narrow win over Atletico Atlanta 2-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 34% / 31%) promised a tight game; Gimnasia Mendoza found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Atletico Atlanta led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gimnasia Mendoza and 2.33 for Atletico Atlanta.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Mendoza vs Atletico Atlanta?

Gimnasia Mendoza 2-1 Atletico Atlanta in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 19/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Mendoza vs Atletico Atlanta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Mendoza win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Mendoza 35%, draw 34%, Atletico Atlanta 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Mendoza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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