Agropecuario Argentino 1-2 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 19 Mar 2024

📅19/03/2024 · 🕒03:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.54
Over 2.5
40%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
61%
-0.8pp
40%
Over 2.5
39%
+0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Agropecuario Argentino EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.58/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.12
+23% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Agropecuario Argentino
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.10.2023 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 0-2 HT 0-1 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
03.04.2022 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 2-2 HT 1-1 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
04.01.2021 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino 0-1 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
09.11.2019 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-1 HT 0-0 Agropecuario Argentino Agropecuario Argentino ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Agropecuario Argentino vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ferro Carril Oeste edged past Agropecuario Argentino 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Agropecuario Argentino at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ferro Carril Oeste led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Agropecuario Argentino and 1.25 for Ferro Carril Oeste.

What was the final score of Agropecuario Argentino vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Agropecuario Argentino 1-2 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 19/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Agropecuario Argentino vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a Agropecuario Argentino win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Agropecuario Argentino 44%, draw 27%, Ferro Carril Oeste 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Agropecuario Argentino) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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