Al Shabab Manama 1-1 East Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.91
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
20%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
15.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 31% vs market 27.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.0pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.8pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.4pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY East Riffa EU Bookmakers 33%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -19%
0.90/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.22
-38% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Manama
4W-1D-1L
AWAY East Riffa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 1-2 HT 1-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
25.11.2023 East Riffa East Riffa 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
17.11.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 4-1 HT 3-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAHK
15.03.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 1-0 HT 0-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
27.01.2023 East Riffa East Riffa 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
13.08.2020 East Riffa East Riffa 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Manama
1-1
AWAY East Riffa
65% Ball Possession 35%
12 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
11 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Manama vs East Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shabab Manama and East Riffa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Shabab Manama at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Shabab Manama had 65% of the ball to East Riffa's 35%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Manama had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Shabab Manama and 0.67 for East Riffa.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Manama vs East Riffa?

Al Shabab Manama 1-1 East Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Manama vs East Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Manama 43%, draw 22%, East Riffa 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Shabab Manama), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shabab Manama) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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