Al Shabab Manama 1-2 East Riffa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.47
6+ Goals
8%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 30% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
20%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
39%
-2.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.7pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Manama EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY East Riffa EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -2%
1.06/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.01
-26% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
274 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Manama
4W-1D-0L
AWAY East Riffa
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2023 East Riffa East Riffa 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
17.11.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 4-1 HT 3-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAHK
15.03.2023 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama 1-0 HT 0-0 East Riffa East Riffa BAH
27.01.2023 East Riffa East Riffa 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
13.08.2020 East Riffa East Riffa 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Manama Al Shabab Manama BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Manama
1-2
AWAY East Riffa
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Manama vs East Riffa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

East Riffa nicked a narrow win over Al Shabab Manama 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 35% — and on the day East Riffa made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Shabab Manama had 41% of the ball to East Riffa's 59%, shots finished 7-14.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Shabab Manama had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Al Shabab Manama and 0.40 for East Riffa.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Manama vs East Riffa?

Al Shabab Manama 1-2 East Riffa in the Bahrain - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Manama vs East Riffa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Manama win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Manama 37%, draw 29%, East Riffa 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Shabab Manama) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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