Muharraq 3-1 Al Hala Muharraq — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.47
Draw
28%
4.19
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.72
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.26
6+ Goals
9%
11.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 30% vs market 21.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
64%
-14.1pp
28%
Draw
21%
+7.1pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.2pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Muharraq EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hala Muharraq EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.57/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.74
-9% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Muharraq
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Hala Muharraq
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq 1-2 HT 0-1 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
03.03.2023 Muharraq Muharraq 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq BAH
03.03.2023 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq 2-0 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
06.10.2022 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq 0-1 HT 0-0 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
11.02.2022 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq 0-2 HT 0-1 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
08.01.2022 Al Hala Muharraq Al Hala Muharraq 1-2 HT 1-2 Muharraq Muharraq BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Muharraq
3-1
AWAY Al Hala Muharraq
55% Ball Possession 45%
25 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Muharraq vs Al Hala Muharraq
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Muharraq got the better of Al Hala Muharraq 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Muharraq as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Muharraq had 55% of the ball to Al Hala Muharraq's 45%, shots finished 25-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Muharraq had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Muharraq and 0.67 for Al Hala Muharraq.

What was the final score of Muharraq vs Al Hala Muharraq?

Muharraq 3-1 Al Hala Muharraq in the Bahrain - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Muharraq vs Al Hala Muharraq?

Before kick-off our model rated a Muharraq win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Muharraq 49%, draw 28%, Al Hala Muharraq 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Muharraq) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Muharraq) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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