Al Riffa 1-1 Sitra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.9
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.16
6+ Goals
8%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.7pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sitra EU Bookmakers 21%
-6% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.72/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.90
+2% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +75%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riffa
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Sitra
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.02.2024 Sitra Sitra 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
15.10.2023 Al Riffa Al Riffa 2-1 HT 0-1 Sitra Sitra BAHK
03.04.2023 Sitra Sitra 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
25.11.2022 Al Riffa Al Riffa 1-1 HT 0-1 Sitra Sitra BAH
08.11.2020 Sitra Sitra 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAHK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riffa
1-1
AWAY Sitra
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al Riffa vs Sitra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riffa and Sitra shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Riffa at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Al Riffa had 56% of the ball to Sitra's 44%, shots finished 12-3.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Riffa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Al Riffa and 0.60 for Sitra.

What was the final score of Al Riffa vs Sitra?

Al Riffa 1-1 Sitra in the Bahrain - Premier League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riffa vs Sitra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Al Riffa 52%, draw 26%, Sitra 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✗ Over 2.5
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