La Louvière 4-1 RFC Seraing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.79
2-3 Goals
35%
1.8
4-5 Goals
29%
2.95
6+ Goals
12%
9.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.1pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.4pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Louvière EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Seraing EU Bookmakers 17%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.02/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.86
+15% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 76%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
22.3 Crosses 14.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Louvière
1W-0D-0L
AWAY RFC Seraing
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.65 xG 0.32
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 8
203 Passes 325
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
19 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 3
13.12.2024 RFC Seraing RFC Seraing 0-1 HT 0-1 La Louvière La Louvière BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Louvière
4-1
AWAY RFC Seraing
2.28 xG 1.32
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
202 Passes 219
65% Pass Accuracy 64%
20 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH La Louvière vs RFC Seraing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Louvière cruised past RFC Seraing 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had La Louvière as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, La Louvière had 48% of the ball to RFC Seraing's 52%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 2.28 to 1.32.

What was the final score of La Louvière vs RFC Seraing?

La Louvière 4-1 RFC Seraing in the Belgium - 1st Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Louvière vs RFC Seraing?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Louvière win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split La Louvière 56%, draw 24%, RFC Seraing 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Louvière), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (La Louvière) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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