Waasland-Beveren 3-1 RFC Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
24%
3.31
6+ Goals
9%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 30% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waasland-Beveren EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 32%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.33/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.78
+7% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -24%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
19.5 Crosses 16.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waasland-Beveren
0W-1D-2L
AWAY RFC Liege
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.43 xG 1.94
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
471 Passes 217
84% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 29
21 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2024 RFC Liege RFC Liege 0-0 HT 0-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
31.03.2024 RFC Liege RFC Liege 5-1 HT 4-0 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren BEL2
24.09.2023 Waasland-Beveren Waasland-Beveren 1-2 HT 1-1 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waasland-Beveren
3-1
AWAY RFC Liege
1.76 xG 2.36
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 23
9 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 7
340 Passes 355
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 36
14 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Waasland-Beveren vs RFC Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waasland-Beveren beat RFC Liege 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Waasland-Beveren as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Waasland-Beveren had 48% of the ball to RFC Liege's 52%, shots finished 13-23, expected goals 1.76 to 2.36 — the balance of chances actually favoured RFC Liege.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, RFC Liege led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Waasland-Beveren and 2.33 for RFC Liege.

What was the final score of Waasland-Beveren vs RFC Liege?

Waasland-Beveren 3-1 RFC Liege in the Belgium - 1st Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waasland-Beveren vs RFC Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waasland-Beveren win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Waasland-Beveren 42%, draw 27%, RFC Liege 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Waasland-Beveren) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BEL2 More Belgium - 1st Division
15 Feb 2025
18:00 La Louvière vs RFC Seraing Analysis →
22:00 RSC Anderlecht II vs Lommel United Analysis →