OH Leuven 3-2 Dender EH — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.72
2-3 Goals
44%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.01
6+ Goals
8%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.93
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
11%
12.6
X/1
12%
4.83
X/2
13%
7.3
X/X
18%
4.03
2/1
9%
28.0
2/2
11%
5.62
2/X
3%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.3pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.9pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Dender EH EU Bookmakers 30%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.72/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.64
+5% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +103%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
16.4 Crosses 21.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Dender EH
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.29 xG 1.13
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
353 Passes 233
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 6
09.11.2024 Dender EH Dender EH 1-1 HT 1-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven
3-2
AWAY Dender EH
1.76 xG 2.46
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
423 Passes 310
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 39
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Dender EH
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven squeezed past Dender EH 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 32% / 28% — and on the day OH Leuven made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, OH Leuven had 56% of the ball to Dender EH's 44%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 1.76 to 2.46 — the balance of chances actually favoured Dender EH.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Dender EH?

OH Leuven 3-2 Dender EH in the Belgium - Pro League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Dender EH?

Before kick-off our model rated a OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 40%, draw 32%, Dender EH 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OH Leuven), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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