Dender EH 1-1 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 9 Nov 2024

Dender EH
1-1 HT 1-1
OH Leuven
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Dender EH vs OH Leuven Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.05
6+ Goals
8%
18.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 34% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.72
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
8%
14.25
X/1
16%
6.22
X/2
21%
4.64
X/X
11%
4.39
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
10%
3.14
2/X
8%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-5.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.1pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dender EH v OH Leuven — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.53/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/0.63
+10% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +37%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
15.6 Crosses 19.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Dender EH 1-1 OH Leuven — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dender EH
1-1
AWAY OH Leuven
1.13 xG 1.29
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
233 Passes 353
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 14
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dender EH and OH Leuven shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Dender EH had 43% of the ball to OH Leuven's 57%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.13 to 1.29.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs OH Leuven?

Dender EH 1-1 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated an OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 36%, draw 27%, OH Leuven 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (OH Leuven), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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