Kortrijk 1-2 Royal Antwerp — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 9 Nov 2024

Kortrijk
1-2 HT 0-1
Royal Antwerp
📅09/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Belgium - Pro League – 2024/2025

Kortrijk vs Royal Antwerp Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
41%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.63
No
52%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.79
2-3 Goals
40%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.22
6+ Goals
8%
11.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 30% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.43
1/2
8%
24.85
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
10%
6.57
X/2
16%
5.01
X/X
11%
4.89
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
17%
3.04
2/X
6%
12.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
57%
-9.5pp
52%
BTTS No
43%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kortrijk v Royal Antwerp — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kortrijk EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Royal Antwerp EU Bookmakers 46%
-4% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
1.41/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.23
-20% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
18.3 Crosses 19.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7

Kortrijk vs Royal Antwerp Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kortrijk
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Royal Antwerp
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.05 xG 1.56
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
283 Passes 384
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 32
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.03.2024 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-1 HT 0-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
11.08.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 6-0 HT 4-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
16.04.2023 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 1-0 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL
02.10.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 2-1 HT 2-0 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
02.02.2022 Kortrijk Kortrijk 0-2 HT 0-1 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp BEL
01.08.2021 Royal Antwerp Royal Antwerp 0-1 HT 0-0 Kortrijk Kortrijk BEL

Kortrijk 1-2 Royal Antwerp — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kortrijk
1-2
AWAY Royal Antwerp
1.30 xG 1.12
36% Ball Possession 64%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
229 Passes 472
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kortrijk vs Royal Antwerp
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royal Antwerp nicked a narrow win over Kortrijk 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Royal Antwerp as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Kortrijk had 36% of the ball to Royal Antwerp's 64%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.30 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Royal Antwerp led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Kortrijk and 1.83 for Royal Antwerp.

What was the final score of Kortrijk vs Royal Antwerp?

Kortrijk 1-2 Royal Antwerp in the Belgium - Pro League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kortrijk vs Royal Antwerp?

Before kick-off our model rated an Royal Antwerp win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kortrijk 35%, draw 24%, Royal Antwerp 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Royal Antwerp) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Royal Antwerp) ✗ BTTS No
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