Sporting Charleroi 1-0 Westerlo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 9 Nov 2024

📅09/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.2
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
26%
3.02
6+ Goals
11%
9.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.82
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
11%
4.9
X/2
10%
7.01
X/X
11%
5.17
2/1
12%
23.15
2/2
18%
4.66
2/X
10%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.6pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Charleroi EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Westerlo EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +14%
1.62/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.77
-23% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
387 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
21.1 Crosses 15.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Charleroi
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Westerlo
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.44 xG 1.52
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
397 Passes 394
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 Westerlo Westerlo 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
25.11.2023 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 3-2 HT 0-1 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
01.04.2023 Westerlo Westerlo 2-3 HT 1-2 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
17.09.2022 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 2-3 HT 1-2 Westerlo Westerlo BEL
03.02.2021 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi 1-0 HT 0-0 Westerlo Westerlo BEK
15.05.2019 Westerlo Westerlo 0-2 HT 0-1 Sporting Charleroi Sporting Charleroi BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Charleroi
1-0
AWAY Westerlo
2.35 xG 0.74
48% Ball Possession 52%
22 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
323 Passes 358
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sporting Charleroi vs Westerlo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Charleroi edged past Westerlo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Sporting Charleroi found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sporting Charleroi had 48% of the ball to Westerlo's 52%, shots finished 22-10, expected goals 2.35 to 0.74 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sporting Charleroi's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Charleroi had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Sporting Charleroi and 1.17 for Westerlo.

What was the final score of Sporting Charleroi vs Westerlo?

Sporting Charleroi 1-0 Westerlo in the Belgium - Pro League on 09/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Charleroi vs Westerlo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Charleroi win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sporting Charleroi 39%, draw 28%, Westerlo 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Charleroi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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