Manta 2-3 Barcelona SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.13
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+9.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
44%
Away Win
53%
-9.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.7pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manta EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona SC EU Bookmakers 57%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
0.85/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.07
+2% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -17%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 81%
15.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
14.2 Crosses 19.0
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manta
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Barcelona SC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.06 xG 1.54
28% Ball Possession 72%
9 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
108 Passes 385
59% Pass Accuracy 84%
6 Box Touches 30
6 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 4
26.07.2021 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 2-0 HT 0-0 Manta Manta EKV1
21.02.2021 Manta Manta 2-3 HT 2-0 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC EKV1
30.01.2014 Barcelona SC Barcelona SC 1-0 HT 1-0 Manta Manta EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manta
2-3
AWAY Barcelona SC
0.96 xG 3.61
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
219 Passes 374
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
7 Box Touches 41
8 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Manta vs Barcelona SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona SC nicked a narrow win over Manta 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Barcelona SC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Manta had 42% of the ball to Barcelona SC's 58%, shots finished 5-22, expected goals 0.96 to 3.61 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Barcelona SC's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Barcelona SC led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Manta and 2.00 for Barcelona SC.

What was the final score of Manta vs Barcelona SC?

Manta 2-3 Barcelona SC in the Ecuador - Premier on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manta vs Barcelona SC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barcelona SC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Manta 31%, draw 25%, Barcelona SC 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barcelona SC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barcelona SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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