Aucas vs Tecnico Universitario Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aucas v Tecnico Universitario — Team-Based Signals
Aucas vs Tecnico Universitario Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-4
HT 2-3
Tecnico Universitario
EKV1
0-1
HT 0-0
Aucas
EKV1
5-2
HT 3-1
Tecnico Universitario
EKV1
0-1
HT 0-1
Aucas
EKV1
Aucas 4-1 Tecnico Universitario — Actual Match Statistics
Aucas cruised past Tecnico Universitario 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (35% / 29% / 36%) promised a tight game; Aucas found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Aucas had 51% of the ball to Tecnico Universitario's 49%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 1.06 to 0.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aucas had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Aucas and 1.50 for Tecnico Universitario.
What was the final score of Aucas vs Tecnico Universitario?
Aucas 4-1 Tecnico Universitario in the Ecuador - Premier on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aucas vs Tecnico Universitario?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Aucas 35%, draw 29%, Tecnico Universitario 36%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.