EIF 1-2 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykköscup, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
2.99
6+ Goals
8%
9.76
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 28% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-6.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.5pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EIF EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME EIF
2W-1D-3L
AWAY TPS Turku
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.10.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-3 HT 1-1 EIF EIF FINY
28.06.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 3-1 HT 3-1 EIF EIF FİN2
15.04.2023 EIF EIF 2-1 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
10.09.2022 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-0 HT 2-0 EIF EIF FINY
18.08.2022 TPS Turku TPS Turku 2-2 HT 2-0 EIF EIF FİN2
18.04.2022 EIF EIF 1-3 HT 0-1 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME EIF
1-2
AWAY TPS Turku
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH EIF vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

TPS Turku nicked a narrow win over EIF 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was EIF at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, EIF had 60% of the ball to TPS Turku's 40%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, TPS Turku led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for EIF and 2.00 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of EIF vs TPS Turku?

EIF 1-2 TPS Turku in the Finland - Ykköscup on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EIF vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a EIF win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split EIF 46%, draw 27%, TPS Turku 27%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (EIF) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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