JaPS 0-1 FC Lahti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykköscup, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
53%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.33
Over 2.5
49%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
4.55
2-3 Goals
43%
1.87
4-5 Goals
21%
2.67
6+ Goals
9%
7.06
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.55 — our 27% vs market 16.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+2.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-2.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
39%
+12.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
61%
-12.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.2pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME JaPS EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Lahti EU Bookmakers 60%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.00/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+35% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% /
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
221 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME JaPS
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Lahti
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 6
28.06.2022 FC Lahti FC Lahti 2-1 HT 1-1 JaPS JaPS FİK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME JaPS
0-1
AWAY FC Lahti
53% Ball Possession 47%
5 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH JaPS vs FC Lahti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Lahti nicked a narrow win over JaPS 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had FC Lahti as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, JaPS had 53% of the ball to FC Lahti's 47%, shots finished 5-12.

What was the final score of JaPS vs FC Lahti?

JaPS 0-1 FC Lahti in the Finland - Ykköscup on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for JaPS vs FC Lahti?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Lahti win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split JaPS 24%, draw 23%, FC Lahti 53%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Lahti), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Lahti) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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