PSG (K) 4-1 Montpellier (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
19%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
73%
-12.6pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.6pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+9.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 12%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.81/0.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/3.45
+44% / +140% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / -2%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
404 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 191 · 68%
37.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
25.7 Crosses 11.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSG (K)
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Montpellier (K)
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.50 xG 0.61
66% Ball Possession 34%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
464 Passes 186
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
24.03.2024 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 PSG (K) PSG (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSG (K)
4-1
AWAY Montpellier (K)
3.16 xG 0.94
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 1
578 Passes 204
89% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 8
18 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PSG (K) vs Montpellier (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSG (K) swept aside Montpellier (K) 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had PSG (K) as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, PSG (K) had 69% of the ball to Montpellier (K)'s 31%, shots finished 15-3, expected goals 3.16 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, PSG (K) had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for PSG (K) and 1.00 for Montpellier (K).

What was the final score of PSG (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

PSG (K) 4-1 Montpellier (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSG (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSG (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split PSG (K) 60%, draw 21%, Montpellier (K) 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSG (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSG (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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